Over/Under Bet Calculator
Calculate payouts for over/under (totals) bets. See implied probability and EV for any total.
How Over/Under Bets Work
The sportsbook sets a total points/runs/goals number. You bet whether the actual combined score will be over or under that number. In NFL, a typical total is 44.5-52.5 points. The half-point ensures no push (tie). Both sides are usually -110, and you pay the same vig as a spread bet.
Totals Betting Strategy
Weather impacts totals significantly in outdoor sports — wind, rain, and cold all push games under. In NFL, totals are sharpest early in the week and move based on public money. The public tends to bet overs (people like high-scoring games), which can create value on unders. Track closing line movement: if a total opens at 48 and closes at 46.5, the sharp money was on the under.
The most exploitable totals market is the first half over/under in college basketball. Sportsbooks spend less time sharpening these lines compared to full-game totals, and the reduced sample (one half) creates more variance that informed bettors can exploit.
