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Probability Calculator

P(A and B), P(A or B), and conditional probability for any two events.

📅 Updated April 2026 Formula verified 📖 4 min read 🆓 Free · No sign-up

Independent events (assumed here)

These calculations assume A and B are independent — one doesn't affect the other. If events are dependent, conditional probability applies: P(A|B) = P(A and B) / P(B).

The rules

P(A and B) = P(A) × P(B) [independent] P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(A and B) P(not A) = 1 − P(A)

Real-world example

60% chance of rain, 40% chance of traffic: P(rain AND traffic) = 0.6 × 0.4 = 24%. P(at least one problem) = 0.6 + 0.4 − 0.24 = 76%.

⚡ CalcWolf Insight

The birthday paradox: in a group of just 23 people, there is a 50% chance that two people share the same birthday.

Frequently asked questions
What is the probability of two independent events both occurring?
Multiply their individual probabilities. P(A) = 60%, P(B) = 40%: P(both) = 0.60 × 0.40 = 0.24 = 24%.
What is the difference between probability and odds?
Probability is the chance of an event occurring out of all possible outcomes (e.g., 1/6 for rolling a specific die number). Odds compare favorable to unfavorable outcomes (e.g., 1:5 against). A 25% probability equals 1:3 odds. Gambling uses odds; science uses probability.
✓ Math logic verified against primary sources → See our verification process
Kevin Glover
Founder, CalcWolf · GLVTS · Blickr
All formulas sourced from primary references — IRS publications, peer-reviewed research, and official standards. Results are tested against independent reference calculators before publishing. Rates and brackets updated when official sources change. Editorial policy →

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